Treefera Product Roadmap — H2 2026

46 features · 24 July 2026, 16:21
Northstar & KPIs
Market Intelligence
Risk Intelligence
Environmental Intelligence
App & Platform
By Customer
Product line

Market Intelligence

H2 2026 Objective

Secure product-market fit and commercialise Market Intelligence

North StarMarket Intelligence is the earliest, climate-aware read of global supply beneath every soft-commodity call — positions, hedges, sourcing — for organisations whose P&L rides on the harvest, not the report. One macro signal, built to act on before the market prices it in.
H2 2026

KPIs

Deliver · Perform · Validate
DELIVER
Futures-deliverable coverage
Breadth of futures markets MI is credible in — how many of the 10 priority contracts clear the ≥50% deliverable-supply bar.
4/10
As of S4: 8 Jul–21 Jul
67% of Q3 target
Target
Q3 20266 / 10
End-20269 / 10
How we measure
≥50% futures-deliverable coverage per priority contract (of 10).
PERFORM
Performance vs Market
Whether MI's signals beat the market — risk-adjusted (Sharpe > 1), better than analyst consensus, and lead price moves by > 24h.
Not yet measured
As of S4: 8 Jul–21 Jul
Baseline TBC
Target
Q3 20261 / 10 hitting all 3 (+ 2 / 10 hitting 2 of 3)
End-20262 / 10 hitting all 3 (+ 3 / 10 hitting 2 of 3)
How we measure
Per signal release, beat baselines on (1) Sharpe > 1, (2) beats analyst consensus ≥50% of releases, (3) positive lead signal > 24h ahead of price move.
PERFORM
Performance vs Benchmark reports
Whether MI's forecasts beat the industry benchmark — WASDE for row crops, prior-year directional accuracy for soft commodities.
2/10
As of S4: 8 Jul–21 Jul
Baseline TBC
Target
Q3 20265 / 5 row crops (≤ 0.85× WASDE) · 3 / 5 soft (≥ 60% directional)
End-20265 / 5 row crops (≤ 0.80× WASDE) · 5 / 5 soft
How we measure
Row crops: MAPE ≤ WASDE × 0.85 (Q3) / 0.80 (End-2026). Soft commodities: directional accuracy ≥60% vs prior-year equivalent period.
VALIDATE
Customer data validation
Whether clients who actually run MI's data confirm it's useful — independent validation against their own benchmarks, not a survey response.
0
As of S4: 8 Jul–21 Jul
Baseline TBC
Target
Q3 2026≥ 50%
End-2026≥ 70%
How we measure
Written confirmation of at least one of: (1) data is performant vs expectations, (2) outperforms client's own model, (3) enhances client's existing models.
CONVERT
Datasets sold
Commercial traction — how many MI datasets convert to paid sales against the H2 target of 12.
0
As of S4: 8 Jul–21 Jul
Baseline TBC
Target
Q3 2026TBC
End-202612 datasets
How we measure
Count of Market Intelligence datasets sold to customers in H2 2026.
Product line

Risk Intelligence

H2 2026 Objective

Launch Risk Intelligence as a discoverable, understandable, and trustworthy app product — designed to delight and built to scale

North StarRisk Intelligence is the calibrated, forward-looking evidence layer beneath every material ag decision — credit underwritings, sourcing calls, seed allocations — for organisations whose capital sits in natural assets.
Key Results
KR1ARI (East Africa corn) deployed on app and anchor customer onboarding initiated — end Sep
KR2YRI (US corn + US soy) deployed on app and ready to enable anchor customers — 6 Oct
KR33 of 4 POCs (Dyson, Bayer, US Bank) converted to paid contracts — end 2026
KR4ARI and YRI ship to a discoverable, understandable and trustworthy standard — evidenced by a ratified visualisation standard and validated by smooth customer onboarding — end Oct
KPIs — Weekly leading indicators
DELIVER
Sprint commitment ship rate
Predictability of delivery — what proportion of work the team commits to at sprint planning actually ships by sprint close. The foundation of every customer commitment downstream.
55.88%
As of S4: 8 Jul–21 Jul
80% of Q3 target
Target
Q3 2026≥ 70% by Sprint 9
End-2026≥ 85% sustained through ACRI launch
How we measure
% of committed sprint scope shipped at sprint close (2-week cadence).
VALIDATE
Customer validation touchpoints / sprint
Discipline of testing in the open. How often the team runs structured discovery, PRD validation, or prototype-test sessions with anchors and named pipeline prospects — every sprint, not just at quarter-end.
1/2
As of S4: 8 Jul–21 Jul
50% of Q3 target
Target
Q3 2026≥ 2 / sprint
End-2026≥ 4 / sprint sustained
How we measure
Structured discovery, PRD validation, or prototype-test sessions with anchors + named pipeline prospects.
CONVERT
POC → paid commercial conversion
Whether the three anchor POCs actually convert to paid contracts. The headline H2 commercial outcome — the single number that proves the RI strategy is working with real customers.
1/3
As of S4: 8 Jul–21 Jul
100% of Q3 target
Target
Q3 20261 / 3 anchors
End-20263 / 3 — headline H2 commercial outcome
Product line

Environmental Intelligence

H2 2026 Objective

Elevate Environmental Intelligence into a credible, self-serve app product — audit-ready data, designed to be understood

North StarEnvironmental Intelligence is the verified, plot-level record beneath every carbon and environmental compliance claim — eligibility, project performance, deforestation due diligence, ongoing monitoring — for the developers, investors and buyers whose carbon revenue, compliance and sustainability goals rest on what's actually happening on the ground. One first-mile source of truth, built to stand up to the methodology, the registry, and the regulator.
H2 2026

KPIs

Deliver · Validate · Convert
DELIVER
Customer feature delivery rate
Predictability of customer-facing delivery — what % of committed features actually ships within their committed window.
1/4
As of S4: 8 Jul–21 Jul
Baseline TBC
Target
Q3 2026≥ 80% (Now-phase features)
End-2026Sustain ≥ 80% through Next-phase delivery
How we measure
% of committed customer-facing features shipped within their committed window. Source of truth: the customer delivery timeline / agreement with CS.
VALIDATE
Data acceptance rate
Pushes data trust through methodology, validation, and QA — whether what we deliver lands cleanly with customers, without CS needing to step in to interpret, fix, or re-explain.
1/4
As of S4: 8 Jul–21 Jul
Baseline TBC
Target
Q3 2026
End-2026
How we measure
% of delivered data outputs accepted by customers without intervention by CS.
CONVERT
Paid pilot → expanded commercial commitment
Whether EI's paid pilots convert to expanded commercial commitments — the headline H2 commercial outcome for the three anchor accounts.
0/3
As of S4: 8 Jul–21 Jul
0% of Q3 target
Target
Q3 20261 / 3 anchors
End-20263 / 3 — CHEP, Corrie MacColl, Imperial
How we measure
Paid pilot expanded into a broader commercial commitment by Dec 2026. New Forests not included — phase 1 is not a pilot.
Objective
Secure product-market fit and commercialise Market Intelligence
View full KPIs →
DELIVER
40%
4/10 · priority futures contracts at ≥50% coverage of deliverable supply · S4
PERFORM
Not yet measured
contracts beating market on all 3 (Sharpe / consensus / lead time) · S4
PERFORM
20%
2/10 · models beating their domain benchmark · S4
VALIDATE
0
trial clients positively validating data · S4
Objective
Launch Risk Intelligence as a discoverable, understandable, and trustworthy app product — designed to delight and built to scale
View full KPIs →
DELIVER
55.88%
Sprint 6 baseline (22 May – 09 Jun) · S4
VALIDATE
50%
1/2 · validation sessions this sprint (target 2) · S4
CONVERT
33%
1/3 · anchors converted · S4
Delivery timeline
Now · Q3 → 7 OctNext · Q4 Oct–Dec
JUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC

Agricultural Risk Intelligence

Yield & Credit Risk Intelligence

Agricultural Credit RiskShould we extend credit / renew this borrower's cycle — given crop history and forward yield position?
R&DScope Ag Credit Risk
Q4 2026 → Q1 2027 scoping — expansion from Yield Risk Intelligence, contingent on YRI delivery progress. Not yet a Next commitment.

Location Discovery

Location Analysis

Key deliverableR&D Preview Beta  Delivery stageReleased
Objective
Elevate Environmental Intelligence into a credible, self-serve app product — audit-ready data, designed to be understood
View full KPIs →
DELIVER
25%
1/4 · committed customer-facing features shipped on time · S4
VALIDATE
25%
1/4 · trial deliveries accepted without CS intervention · S4
CONVERT
0%
0/3 · anchors expanded (CHEP · Corrie MacColl · Imperial) · S4
Delivery timeline
Now · Q3 → 7 OctNext · Q4 Oct–Dec
JUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC

Deforestation and Degradation

Afforestation, Reforestation, Revegetation (ARR)

ARR VERRA FeasibilityHow likely is this ARR project to succeed, and how accessible is it?

Improved Forestry Management

Improved Forestry Management (ACR) Performance

Cross-cutting

Location Analysis
Key deliverableR&D Preview Beta  Delivery stageReleased
App & Platform — delivery timeline
Now · Q3 → 7 OctNext · Q4 Oct–Dec
JUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC
Centralised Data Service
Data Pipeline & Orchestrator
Key deliverableR&D Preview Beta  Delivery stageReleased
Now committed — delivered by the 7 Oct quarterly release. Next planned for the following quarter (Oct–Dec). Later scoping only — not yet a committed deliverable.
New Forests5 features
PhaseFeatureTimelineProduct lineDeployment scope
NowARR (VM0047) Performance Benchmark Tool 1.1: Country Expansion for registry-aligned control plot selection1 Jul 2026 → 2 Sep 2026EIAppAPI
NowARR VERRA (VM0047) [Eligibility] IBAT extension (Global)4 Aug 2026 → 2 Sep 2026EIAppAPI
Next[R&D] ARR VERRA (VM0047) [Feasibility]1 Oct 2026 → 31 Dec 2026EIR&D
NextARR: Verra Integration - timeline under review1 Oct 2026 → 31 Dec 2026EIAppAPI
NowARR Performance Project v1.1: VERRA aligned (VM0047)2 Oct 2026 → 2 Oct 2026EIAppAPI
Bayer4 features
PhaseFeatureTimelineProduct lineDeployment scope
NowAgricultural Risk Intelligence 1.0 [Corn in East Africa]10 Jun 2026 → 2 Sep 2026RIAppAPI
Now[R&D] Agricultural Risk Intelligence [IBAT expansion]1 Aug 2026 → 31 Aug 2026RIR&D
NowAgricultural Risk Intelligence 1.1 [Corn, Soy coverage]4 Aug 2026 → 6 Oct 2026RIAppAPI
NextAgricultural Risk Intelligence Biodiversity 1.07 Oct 2026 → 4 Nov 2026RIAppAPI
Finite Carbon3 features
PhaseFeatureTimelineProduct lineDeployment scope
NowARR (VM0047) Performance Benchmark Tool 1.1: Country Expansion for registry-aligned control plot selection1 Jul 2026 → 2 Sep 2026EIAppAPI
NowARR VERRA (VM0047) [Eligibility] IBAT extension (Global)4 Aug 2026 → 2 Sep 2026EIAppAPI
NextIFM Improvements - timeline under review1 Oct 2026 → 31 Dec 2026EIAppAPI
Olam Agri3 features
PhaseFeatureTimelineProduct lineDeployment scope
Now[R&D] Agricultural Risk Intelligence [IBAT expansion]1 Aug 2026 → 31 Aug 2026RIR&D
NextAgricultural Risk Intelligence 1.2 [commodity*region extension]4 Aug 2026 → 4 Nov 2026RIAppAPI
NextAgricultural Risk Intelligence Biodiversity 1.07 Oct 2026 → 4 Nov 2026RIAppAPI
US Bank2 features
PhaseFeatureTimelineProduct lineDeployment scope
NowYield Risk Intelligence 1.1 [Corn & Soy in the US]5 Aug 2026 → 6 Oct 2026RIAppAPI
Now[R&D] Farm-level yield intelligence downscaling1 Sep 2026 → 30 Sep 2026RIR&D
CHEP1 feature
PhaseFeatureTimelineProduct lineDeployment scope
NowDDR- R+D - Deforestation & Degradation risk (anchor > CHEP use case)1 Jul 2026 → 2 Sep 2026EIStreamlit
Corrie MacColl1 feature
PhaseFeatureTimelineProduct lineDeployment scope
NowDDR: Project workflow and methodology implementation1 Jul 2026 → 6 Oct 2026EIAppAPI
Dyson1 feature
PhaseFeatureTimelineProduct lineDeployment scope
Now[R&D] Yield Risk Intelligence Dyson [UK Wheat]12 May 2026 → 1 Jul 2026RIStreamlit
Farm Op1 feature
PhaseFeatureTimelineProduct lineDeployment scope
Now[R&D] Farm-level yield intelligence downscaling1 Sep 2026 → 30 Sep 2026RIR&D
Greenline1 feature
PhaseFeatureTimelineProduct lineDeployment scope
NextIFM Improvements - timeline under review1 Oct 2026 → 31 Dec 2026EIAppAPI
Imperial1 feature
PhaseFeatureTimelineProduct lineDeployment scope
NowDDR- R+D - Deforestation & Degradation risk (Imperial use case)1 Jul 2026 → 16 Sep 2026EIStreamlit
TNC1 feature
PhaseFeatureTimelineProduct lineDeployment scope
NowKenya Maize Detection TNC Streamlit1 Jul 2026 → 31 Aug 2026Commodity DetectionStreamlit
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